Applied and Interdisciplinary Mathematics Seminar

University of Michigan

Winter 2007
Friday, 16 Feb, 3:10-4:00pm, 1084 East Hall

Diverse Interpretations and Predictive Models

Scott Page

University of Michigan


Abstract

In this talk, I will discuss a framework for predictive models based on interpretations. Interpretations take two forms. They can be projections onto a subset of variables or they can be clustered groupings of attributes. Projection interpretations with non overlapping support produce negatively correlated signals. Thus, the interpretation framework that I construct calls into question one of the standard assumptions in signaling models -- namely independence based on the state of the world. I will also discuss the implications of these results for auctions and voting.